脱欧: 哪个结果最可能?

请不要挡住后排吃瓜群众看脱戏 :cn08:

乱成这样不妨碍人家休假,这场持久战暂时中场休息

是该休假从不同角度想一想问题。

希望may不要再去hiking了

Boris Johnson一月份一个专栏文章声称民意调查显示首相脱欧协议,留欧和无协议脱欧三者之间,民众对无协议脱欧的支持率最高。现在媒体监管机构说这个说法没有证据支持,勒令boris Johnson/Daily Telegraph作出更正。好严肃啊。
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-47913555
碰上辱华、歧视的节目、文章,记得向Independent Press Standards Organisation, ofcom之类的监管机构complain。

4.7-12去欧洲度假,刷的信用卡,回来结算一看汇率是1:1.158,比我想象的好啊。

最新European Parliament election民意调查显示Farage Brexit Party 得票率最高

对欧元还行。对其它太惨了

John curtice民意调查的大部分文章都追着看了下,今天这个文章应该是他在16年公投后第一次说有一些leave voter在改变主意。他说民意调查显示,一部分leave voter对脱欧后的英国经济变得更加悲观。这些人中的一部分改变了想法。
https://www.ippr.org/blog/brexit-economic-consequences-leave-voters-curtice

" … there has been a perceptible increase in pessimism about the economic consequences of Brexit. Shortly after the referendum NatCen reported that 45% of all voters reckoned that the economy would be worse off; now that figure stands at 58%. Even though Leave voters are much less likely to share in this pessimism, the proportion who think it would be worse off has increased from 9% to 25%.

Many within this growing if still small group of economically pessimistic Leave voters have changed their minds. Only 46% say they would vote Leave again. In contrast, no less than 94% of those Leave voters who think that Brexit will make the UK economy better off would vote the same way again. It seems that a loss of confidence in the economic consequences of Brexit does influence some voters to think again about the merits of leaving the EU."

脱还是不脱,脱了以后是穿个小裤衩子还是全裸?:stuck_out_tongue_winking_eye:

老百姓对这个问题已经失去兴趣了,想不到你还在这里坚持。:cn10:

不关心没啥损失;P

主要是剧情有点慢

现在基本都认为Brexit Party在欧洲议会选举中获得最多席位。
博彩公司赔率认为farage接下来几年做首相的可能性最高,看到3/1的赔率。:stuck_out_tongue_winking_eye:

没戏 欧洲议会选举通常只有铁杆退欧的才bother去投票

UK local elections

像之前调查结果预期的一样,conservative 政府不能按时脱欧,被选民惩罚,丢掉的council最多。Labour模糊的态度也被惩罚。switch的那些leave voter还是remain voter 都跑去投Liberal Democratic Party, Green Party

为什么UKIP的席位减少了呢,同时我也很好奇那些 other 增加的230席都去哪里了

好像是UKIP和racism有紧密关系,支持者很少了。Brext party和change uk在这次local elections都没有candidates.

Other 很多都是independent candidates.

Frage都抛弃了UKIP,谁还会支持它?

复活节回来,今天是真打脸,最好先把may和烤饼都给开了,要不跟本没用