居住在繁忙马路50米以内的人老年痴呆比例高,加拿大跟踪11年研究了2百万人得出的结论!

加拿大跟踪11年研究了2百万人得出的结论:居住在繁忙马路50米以内的人老年痴呆比例高。

主要结论,和居住在300米以外的人比较,有老年痴呆的人,居住在繁忙马路50米内的人比例高出7%,51到100米高出4%,101到200米高出2%。

Dementia rates ‘higher near busy roads’
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-38506735
People who live near major roads have higher rates of dementia, research published in the Lancet suggests. As many as 11% of dementia cases in people living within 50m of a major road could be down to traffic, the study suggests. The researchers, who followed nearly 2m people in Canada over 11 years, say air pollution or noisy traffic could be contributing to the brain’s decline.

UK dementia experts said the findings needed probing but were “plausible”. Nearly 50 million people around the world have dementia. However, the causes of the disease, that robs people of their memories and brain power, are not understood.

The study in the Lancet followed nearly two million people in the Canadian province of Ontario, between 2001 and 2012. There were 243,611 cases of dementia diagnosed during that time, but the risk was greatest in those living closest to major roads.

Compared with those living 300m away from a major road the risk was:

7% higher within 50m
4% higher between 50-100m
2% higher between 101-200m

The analysis suggests 7-11% of dementia cases within 50m of a major road could be caused by traffic. The researchers adjusted the data to account for other risk factors like poverty, obesity, education levels and smoking so these are unlikely to explain the link.

Pollution particles ‘get into brain’: Dr Hong Chen, from Public Health Ontario and one of the report authors, said: "Increasing population growth and urbanisation have placed many people close to heavy traffic, and with widespread exposure to traffic and growing rates of dementia, even a modest effect from near-road exposure could pose a large public health burden. “More research to understand this link is needed, particularly into the effects of different aspects of traffic, such as air pollutants and noise.”

Should I flee to the country? There are already plenty of reasons to avoid the polluted air in our cities. The World Health Organization says three million people die every year due to outdoor air pollution. It increases the risk of stroke, heart disease, lung cancer and respiratory diseases.

However, it is not clear whether dementia should be added to the list. This study “hints” there may be something going on, but does not definitively prove it. So if you’ve not already been persuaded to up-sticks and move somewhere greener, then this study shouldn’t change your mind. But for Prof Rob Howard from UCL: “This study presents one more important reason why we must clean up the air in our cities”.

The researchers suggest noise, ultrafine particles, nitrogen oxides and particles from tyre-wear may be involved. However, the study looks only at where people diagnosed with dementia live. It cannot prove that the roads are causing the disease. “This is an important paper,” says Prof Martin Rossor, the UK’s National Institute for Health Research director for dementia research. He added: “The effects are small, but with a disorder with a high population prevalence, such effects can have important public health implications.”

Live on a busy road? Then you’re SIGNIFICANTLY more likely to develop dementia, shock study finds
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-4088310/Live-busy-road-SIGNIFICANTLY-likely-develop-dementia-shock-study-finds.html#ixzz4Uv3hYhDk
Living near heavy traffic increases risk of dementia, say scientists
https://www.theguardian.com/society/2017/jan/04/living-near-heavy-traffic-increases-dementia-risk-say-scientists

People who live near busy roads have higher dementia rates

http://www.nhs.uk/news/2017/01January/Pages/People-who-live-near-busy-roads-have-higher-dementia-rates.aspx

Living near a busy road may raise risk of dementia, major study into pollution finds

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/science/2017/01/04/living-near-busy-road-may-raise-risk-dementia-major-study-pollution/

为什末会这样?我还想将来年纪大了之后一定要搬到市中心的那种大高楼里面,热闹一点预防老年痴呆呢,这完全颠覆了我的养老计划!

是因为噪音污染么

文章说原因没有结论,但可能是污染颗粒进入了大脑。

城中心的大高楼也可以离主马路一段距离的。

我退休了要去乡下山里最好是没有人的地方。 {:5_137:}

污染颗粒进入大脑??那国内的雾霾不是很恐怖吗?? 话说乡下田野大山里可以自由自在的裸奔。。。好向往 哈哈哈

我原来也这末想,在山里住了几年就觉得还是热闹点好,不过也不是那种商业区的公寓,最好是那种就像北京的各大高校的那种家属院,简直就是养老的天堂,周边的年轻人多,不由得自己觉得自己都变年轻了,环境也单纯,有好多学生食堂供你选择,操场泳池健身也很特方便,特羡慕两个留校的同学,分了个家属院的老房子,虽没多少钱,但过得可开心了!

那你就觉得无聊的时候回北京住半年,觉得想清静的时候回英国来生活半年。

文章也说了是研究加拿大人10几年,这结论不适用于中国人,中国人越是人多的地方活的越起劲

唉,以后越来越难了,爹妈家不想常住,自己住的房子也不想空置了,准备明年租出去了,以后回去没有窝了 {:5_145:}

回去住酒店妥妥的 {:5_137:}

酒店最大的问题是不能做饭,天天出去吃俺这种老年人吃不消

这种研究什么也说明不了。
7%可能只是一个取样误差而已。而且还要看他们是否挑了数据没有。

而且,置信区间呢?没置信区间,怎么讲高于低于?

2百万这个样本算不小了吧。

具体paper我没看他怎么调查的。
200百万人里,但是真正发病总人数并不多(参考老年痴呆的平均发病率)。这就有问题了呀。
意味其它因素导致的浮动会非常明显。

而且不管怎么样,不讲置信区间,怎么比较?
说不定做一个T test,会发现两者大小没有本质区别。

补一点数据吧,UK老年痴呆总人数占人口比例1.3%。
假设以这个为基准,具体到200万人口里,老年痴呆总人数可能是26000人。

然后再考虑几个因素
(1)26000是总人数,11年里新发病人群,每年才多少?1000有没有?
(2)这11年每个居住区域,新发病的概率是多少?置信区间是多少?
(3)三个区域的居住人口,显然是失衡的。也许在某个区域(譬如50米繁华区)特别的多。尤其是老人(高发病人群)腿脚不方便,又因为年龄不能开车,很可能会倾向于往马路附近搬。
(4)应该有相当一部分人,是几种区域都居住过的(搬过家的),如何避免这个影响?
追溯被调查者搬家史?不现实吧?

等等。所以7%实在是太。。。。

老年痴呆不是遗传的嘛。
据说打麻将可以防痴呆,成都人是不是现身说法下 {:5_137:}

只是说明了加拿大人容易得老年痴呆。。。:lol

绝对的
我就是高校家属区长大的
这种高校里面有从附属幼儿园附属高中一条龙 高校里面各种食堂 便宜到炸 高校外面肯定各种小吃一条街
羽毛球馆 游泳馆 图书馆 设施各种齐全 上班中午就是健身睡午觉
很多老师 下午四点多在校园里把宝宝接回自己办公室玩玩写作业

我们同学在北京高校工作的就因为舍不得校园那个生活环境,所以lost out big time。

10几年前学校在亚运村那一代集资盖房,那里的房子比学校的面积大便宜,老师可以选择放弃学校里的房子去那里买,我们同学就因为舍不得学校里没有去,现在亚运村那里的房子涨了”天价”可以自由买卖,学校里面的房子不能自由买卖。

这种one off的事情 说不好
我妈说了 在高校你可以从幼儿园读到博士 再留校当老师
一辈子不出来哈哈
吃喝拉撒全包了就差没殡仪馆了
就是个小社会了